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I say looking at the crystal ball
rather than into it as 2012 has all the ingredients to be not a good year.
With the Euro-currency crisis and
the austerity measure many countries has adopted one might easily say that it
is all doom and gloom for 2012. Once the monetary system is sorted out in the
Euro-zone things should come back to normal. We expect the Rand to remain weak
against the bigger currencies for most of the year.
Globally we see that the world economy has still not recovered from the
credit crunch of 2008. The creation of new jobs is steadily gaining momentum
and reports indicate that the sales of new motor vehicles in the USA are poised
to rebound. We expect interest rates to
stay on the low side.
It appears that the international
banking sector with its excessive fees and profiteering will come under further
scrutiny and we see that the UK has already started to make waves on credit
card charges and other banking fees. I expect this to have a ripple effect
throughout the world and that banks will have to reconsider the way they charge
their customers. The bad news is that banks will not ease lending money to
small businesses and in this respect I see a tough time for business owners –
this will also not ease the creation of new jobs. The job market will remain
tough in South Africa.
Politically 2012 will see quite a
lot of elections all over the world and this may lead to some degree of protest,
unrest or uncomfortable situations. The turmoil created by the “Arab Spring”
will continue until elections have taken place and strong leadership quench the
political thirst of those people. My
prediction is that we will see quite a lot of political rumbles for 2012.
Climate change will cause all sorts
of natural disasters, like earth quakes, floods [rising sea levels], tsunamis,
droughts, storms, famine and the like. Everyone will have to adapt to these
changes. With all our modern technology
we would have thought that places that experienced disasters would recover
quickly from it but rebuilding structures takes much longer than ruining it.
Food prices are going to be on the
high side.
The road toll system is going to
cause quite a lot of anger and the authorities will have to look at alternative
roads for commuters bearing in mind that all the current roads were already
paid by the taxpayers. We can expect huge protests on this matter and this can
become a prickly pear for the government, especially with elections coming up.
.... READ MORE IN OUR Janaury 2012 NEWSLETTER below
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